ES Scorecard · EdgefulFinder

Headline bias

7,703.3

+1.94%

USD · futures

Neutral

Tech

+0.44

Sent

-0.96

Fund

0.00

Score breakdown

Technical+0.44

Sentiment + COT-0.96

Fundamentals0.00

Score history (technical component, 60 sessions)

2026-06-232026-09-14

Institutional activity

Speculative net-76,036

Commercial net-50,017

Open interest2,071,836

Crowd long share65.7%

Report date2026-09-08

Institutional readbalanced

Crowd read (contrarian)crowd heavily long

E-MINI S&P 500 - CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE

Technical drivers

Trend structure

Golden cross structure

50DMA > 200DMA

60-day momentum

Upward drift intact

0.051%/bar

RSI (14)

Neutral momentum

53.6

20-day strength (z)

Underperforming its own norm

-0.33

Volatility regime

Expanded volatility

1.36% vs ATR 1.05%

Multi-horizon alignment

Mixed horizons

5d 1.38% · 20d -0.33%

Sentiment drivers

Institutional positioning

balanced

Spec net -76,036

Crowd sentiment

crowd heavily long

65.7% long

Volatility sentiment

Volatility in line with norm

0.98x

Seasonality

63.6% of 11 years positive

Sep -0.61%

Fundamental drivers

Seasonality · average return by month (10-year)

Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
+1.86%80% · n=10	-1.14%40% · n=10	-1.11%50% · n=10	+2.46%70% · n=10	+1.98%80% · n=10	+1.68%60% · n=10	+2.54%90% · n=10	+1.36%60% · n=10	-0.61%63.6% · n=11	+0.29%50% · n=10	+3.75%80% · n=10	+0.29%70% · n=10