Seasonality Β· ES

S&P 500 E-Mini Β· average monthly return over 10 years

Strongest month

Nov

Weakest month

Feb

Years sampled

10

Average return by month

Jan+1.86%80% Β· n=10
Feb-1.14%40% Β· n=10
Mar-1.11%50% Β· n=10
Apr+2.46%70% Β· n=10
May+1.98%80% Β· n=10
Jun+1.68%60% Β· n=10
Jul+2.54%90% Β· n=10
Aug+1.36%60% Β· n=10
Sep-0.61%63.6% Β· n=11
Oct+0.29%50% Β· n=10
Nov+3.75%80% Β· n=10
Dec+0.29%70% Β· n=10

Average return by weekday

Close-to-close from the previous session, so Monday includes the weekend gap. Weekends have no sessions in the feed, so only Mon–Fri are reported.

Best day

Wed

by average return

Worst day

Thu

by average return

Sessions per day

468

~10 years of data

Monday effect

+0.08%

weekend gap included

Mon+0.077%58.5% Β· n=468
Tue+0.057%50.6% Β· n=518
Wed+0.079%56.3% Β· n=515
Thu+0.001%52.4% Β· n=508
Fri+0.075%53.8% Β· n=504
EdgefulFinder Β· Probability & macro analytics. Historical statistics are not forecasts.Data: Yahoo Finance Β· CFTC Β· BLS Β· SEC EDGAR