inflation
| Series | Latest | Prev | Chg | YoY | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI YoYFRED | 336.3 | 334.13 | +2.17 | 4.02% | +1.429 |
| Core CPI YoYFRED | 338.9 | 337.77 | +1.13 | 2.79% | +1.947 |
| PPI Final Demand YoYFRED | 159.78 | 157.66 | +2.12 | 6.35% | +1.583 |
| Core PCE YoYFRED | 130.9 | 130.49 | +0.41 | 3.12% | +0.793 |
expectations
| Series | Latest | Prev | Chg | YoY | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected Inflation 1YFRED · open proxy for consensus | 2.98 | 2.66 | +0.32 | — | -0.309 |
| Expected Inflation 5YFRED · open proxy for consensus | 2.77 | 2.6 | +0.17 | — | +0.101 |
| 5Y Breakeven InflationFRED | 2.39 | 2.46 | -0.07 | — | -0.03 |
| 10Y Breakeven InflationFRED | 2.29 | 2.34 | -0.05 | — | -0.03 |
jobs
| Series | Latest | Prev | Chg | YoY | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nonfarm PayrollsFRED | 159,044 | 159,015 | +29 | — | +130 |
| Unemployment RateFRED | 4.2 | 4.1 | +0.1 | — | -0.133 |
| Avg Hourly EarningsFRED | 37.81 | 37.76 | +0.05 | — | +0.24 |
| Initial ClaimsFRED | 194 | 195 | -1 | — | -2 |
growth
| Series | Latest | Prev | Chg | YoY | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP YoYFRED | 24,611.08 | 24,408.01 | +203.07 | 2.07% | +390.154 |
| Retail Sales YoYFRED | 745,021 | 739,322 | +5699 | 6.29% | +8674.667 |
| Consumer SentimentFRED | 48.1 | 51.7 | -3.6 | — | +3.633 |
activity
| Series | Latest | Prev | Chg | YoY | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY Fed Empire State MfgFRED · open PMI proxy | 25.5 | 7.6 | +17.9 | — | +4.267 |
| Philly Fed Mfg IndexFRED · open PMI proxy | 20.9 | 37.8 | -16.9 | — | +18.267 |
| Chicago Fed National ActivityFRED | 0.07 | -0.08 | +0.15 | — | +0.02 |
| Atlanta Fed GDPNowFRED · nowcast | 3.74 | 3.27 | +0.47 | — | -0.133 |
rates
| Series | Latest | Prev | Chg | YoY | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US 10Y YieldFRED | 5.13 | 4.99 | +0.14 | — | +0.417 |
| Fed Funds RateFRED | 3.88 | 3.75 | +0.13 | — | +0.123 |
| 10Y–2Y SpreadFRED | 0.32 | 0.38 | -0.06 | — | +0.027 |
Not available from open data
Listed for transparency rather than shown as blanks. These require licensed commercial feeds or a free FRED API key.
ISM Manufacturing / Services PMIlicensed — open proxies: NY Empire State & Philly Fed
Analyst consensus forecastslicensed — open proxies: 1Y/5Y expected inflation & breakevens