Weekday Bias · NQ

Nasdaq 100 E-Mini · seasonality · 2513 historical occurrences

Weekday Bias

high confidence

Average close-to-close return and hit rate for each day of the week.

Success rate

56.2%

Average

0.08

%

Median

0.12

%

Sample

2513

occurrences

Read

Mon has been the strongest weekday at 0.15% average return.

Distribution

Best11.86
Worst-10.84
Std dev1.43
Unit%

Key figures

Strongest DayMon

Subreports — where the edge actually lives

FilterGroupRateAvgMedianBestWorstN
MonBy weekday60.5%0.150.216.74-10.84468
TueBy weekday54.8%0.100.098.16-5.53518
WedBy weekday58.8%0.130.1611.86-4.97515
ThuBy weekday52.8%0.010.067.40-9.85508
FriBy weekday54.4%0.030.109.71-6.09504

Sample-size honesty

Every statistic on this page is computed from cached exchange history and reports its true sample size. Rates built on fewer than 30 occurrences are marked low confidence — a 90% rate off 10 events is not an edge, it is noise.

EdgefulFinder · Probability & macro analytics. Historical statistics are not forecasts.Data: Yahoo Finance · CFTC · BLS · SEC EDGAR